The Original
College Football Czar
2026 Season Preview
a sports publication from The Shinbone
by Daniel Clark

Welcome to the 2026 season preview issue of The College Football Czar, a seasonal sports publication by the author and editor of The Shinbone. In the coming months, you will find weekly analyses and predictions of college football games posted at this site. To find out more, please consult the Ground Rules.
This issue contains the Czar's rankings for all 138 teams in Division I-A football, as well as conference preview capsules, potential upsets to watch for, postseason projections, a guide to help you locate head coaches and starting QBs on the move, and so many bad puns you'll accuse him of plagiarizing from Dick Loudon. Most importantly, it includes early nominees for the Lardhead of the Year Award, which the Czar never gets around to actually presenting, but for which he dispenses nominations promiscuously.
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
COACHING
MOVES
New coach ..... arriving
at ..... previous position ..... former coach
Ryan Silverfield ..... Arkansas
..... head coach Memphis ..... Sam
Pittman
Alex Golesh ..... Auburn ..... head coach South Florida ..... Hugh Freeze
Tosh Lupoi ... California ... def. coord. Oregon ... Josh Wilcox
Ryan Beard ..... Coastal Carolina ..... head coach Missouri St. ..... Tim Beck
Jim Mora Jr. ..... Colorado State
..... head coach Uconn ..... Jay
Norvell
Jon
Sumrall ..... Florida ..... head
coach Tulane ..... Billy Napier
Jimmy Rogers ..... Iowa State ..... head coach Washington St. ..... Matt Campbell
Billy Napier ..... James Madison
..... head coach Florida ..... Bob
Chesney
Collin Klein ..... Kansas St. ..... off. coord. Texas A&M ..... Chris
Klieman
Will Stein ..... Kentucky ..... off. coord. Oregon ..... Mark Stoops
Lane
Kiffin ..... LSU ..... head coach
Ole Miss ..... Brian Kelly
Charles Huff ..... Memphis ..... head coach So. Miss ..... Ryan Silverfield
Kyle Whittingham ..... Michigan
..... head coach Utah .....
Sherrone Moore
Pat
Fitzgerald ..... Michigan State ..... head coach Northwestern ('22) ..... Jonathan Smith
Casey Woods ..... Missouri State
..... off. coord. SMU ..... Ryan
Beard
Neal Brown ..... North Texas ..... assistant HC Texas ..... Eric Morris
Rob Harley (interim) ..... Northern Illinois ..... def. coord. No. Illinois ..... Thomas Hammock
Pete Golding ..... Ole Miss ..... def. coord. Ole Miss ..... Lane Kiffin
JaMarcus Shephard ..... Oregon
State ..... off. coord. Alabama
..... Trent Bray
Matt Campbell ..... Penn State
..... head coach Iowa St. .....
James Franklin
Brian Hartline ..... South Florida
..... off. coord. Ohio St. .....
Alex Golesh
Blake
Anderson ..... Southern Miss ..... off.
coord. So. Miss ..... Charles Huff
Mike
Jacobs ..... Toledo ..... head
coach Mercer (I-AA) ..... Jason Candle
Will
Hall ..... Tulane ..... off. coord.
Tulane ..... Jon Sumrall
Alex Mortensen ..... UAB ..... off. coord/interim HC UAB ..... Trent Dilfer
Jason Candle ..... Uconn ..... head coach Toledo ..... Jim Mora Jr.
Bob Chesney ..... UCLA ..... head coach James Madison ..... DeShaun Foster
Morgan Scalley ..... Utah ..... def. coord. Utah ..... Kyle Whittingham
James Franklin ..... Virginia Tech ..... head coach Penn St. ..... Brent Pry
Kirby Moore ..... Washington St.
..... off. coord. Missouri .....
Jimmy Rogers
ROLLING
HEAD WATCH
The following coaches will have a
difficult time hanging onto their noggins through the 2026 season:
Dave Aranda, Baylor -- Since winning the Sugar Bowl to finish the 2021 season at 12-2, the coach has had three losing seasons out of four, the worst such stretch they've seen on the Brazos since the late aughts. Each of those three campaigns ended in a November nosedive, although last year the schedule was partly to blame. His job may be resting on the shoulders of former Florida quarterback D.J. Langway, whose arrival he described in ways that were a bit insulting to the QB's former school. The coach said Langway was "just all boxed in" at UF, that it was as if he had been in a straightjacket, and that "I could see someone that just wanted to be free." Well, if Aranda is ejected from the Baylor box after this season, he will have newfound freedom, too. We will know this when we hear him hollering "Midgetmidgetmidgetmidgetmidget!" on his way out the door.
Mike Norvell, Florida State -- Is anyone still clinging to the idea that the Seminoles are getting ready to prove they belonged in the 2023 playoffs? Last year, Norvell's Noles hammered Alabama and put up a great battle against eventual CFP finalist Miami, and still only finished 5-7. Even with an 8-0 conference record three years ago, FSU is only 22-26 in ACC play under Norvell. His predecessor, Willie Taggart, was fired halfway through his second season with a record of 9-12. Taggart was given a quick hook because the school had not had a losing season in four decades prior to his arrival. So why should Norvell be allowed to stick around if he has a fifth losing record in seven years? Because the people in Tallahassee have gotten used to it by now?
Mike Locksley, Maryland -- Like his namesake, Robin of Locksley, the coach is a man in a tight spot. During his seven years in College Park, his only three winning seasons have been with Taulia Tagovailoa taking the snaps, and there doesn't happen to be another one of him lying around. In none of his other four seasons has the coach won more than four games. And then there's that long-ago three-year stint at New Mexico he's hoping everyone has forgotten, where he went 2-26 and was reprimanded for an altercation with one of his assistants. Not such a merry man after all.
Derek Mason, Middle Tennessee -- At first, it must have seemed like something of a coup for the MT-heads to make off with a former head coach from a neighboring SEC school. Still, it's not as if Mason had done well at Vanderbilt, where he went 27-55 in seven years. By the end of the COVID-shortened 2020 season, he was so disinterested that he put the goalie from the women's soccer team into the game to kick off the second half of a 41-0 loss to Missouri. If he thought the PC police would protect his job because of that, he was mistaken. Four years later, he returned to the head coaching ranks in Murfreesboro, where he has had back-to-back seasons with identical records of 3-9 overall, and 2-6 in a crummy Conference USA.
Jeff Lebby, Mississippi State -- The days when a head coach was given four years to prove himself are long gone, and no SEC team is going to tolerate a third straight season with no more than one conference victory. Unfortunately for Lebby, his team does not face Arkansas this year, but a league opener against unheralded South Carolina should be a good indicator of whether he can survive another year in Starkville. If his Bulldogs drop that one, he might finish the season listening to cowbells that are actually attached to cows.
Bill Belichick, North Carolina -- The NFL coaching legend lost his first collegiate game by 34 points, in a Labor Day drubbing by TCU. His Tar Heels will likely get hammered in a different way at this year's Emerald Isle Classic, where they have another opener against those same Horned Frogs. Belichick's ... um ... distraction, combined with his lackadaisical appearance on the sideline, suggested that his presence in Chapel Hill might be a great experiment gone wrong, but the six-time Super Bowl champion is going to play mad scientist for at least one more year. Doubts about his staying power obviously hurt the Heels in the transfer portal this offseason, where his two biggest gets were Wisconsin QB Billy Edwards and LSU running back Kaleb Jackson, each of whom missed almost all of last season with a knee injury. If the ex-Patriot is to improve significantly upon last year's 4-8 mark, he'll have to do it against a challenging ACC schedule that is without either of the Bay Area schools or Boston College.
Luke Fickell, Wisconsin -- Lucky for Luke the folks are not fickle in Madison, where back-to-back losing seasons have dropped his overall mark to 17-21. He has had terrible luck with injuries, however, especially at the quarterback position. The College Football Czar wonders if new dual-threat QB Colton Joseph might be discouraged from running the ball for this reason. The Badgers have got to do something to open up the O, though, after finishing a distant last place in the conference in both yardage and points in 2025.
QB TRANSFER TRACKER
Name ..... arriving at
..... previous team ..... starting status
Reese Poffenbarger ..... Akron ..... North Texas ..... certain
Malachi Singleton ..... Appalachian State ..... Purdue ..... probable
Cutter Boley ..... Arizona State ..... Kentucky ..... contested
Mikey Keene ..... Arizona State ..... Michigan ..... contested
Trey Owens ..... Arkansas State ..... Texas ..... contested
Byrum Brown ..... Auburn ..... South Florida ..... certain
Keldric Luster ..... Ball State ..... Texas State ..... likely
D.J. Lagway ..... Baylor ..... Florida ..... probable
Grayson Wilson ..... Boston College ..... Arkansas ..... contested
Austin Novosad ..... Bowling Green ..... Oregon ..... certain
Alonza Barnett ..... Central Florida ..... James Madison ..... certain
J.C. French ..... Cincinnati ..... Georgia Southern ..... likely
Deuce Bailey ..... Coastal Carolina ..... Missouri State ..... contested
Trevor Jackson ..... Coastal Carolina ..... Arkansas ..... contested
Hauss Hejny ..... Colorado State ..... Oklahoma State ..... likely
Walker Eget ..... Duke ..... San Jose State ..... likely
Emory Williams ..... East Carolina ..... Miami ..... contested
Mitch Griffs ..... East Carolina ..... Texas Tech ..... contested
Aaron Philo ..... Florida ..... Georgia Tech ..... contested
J.J. Kohl ..... Florida International ..... Appalachian State ..... probable
Ashton Daniels ..... Florida State ..... Auburn ..... probable
Khristian Martin ..... Fresno State ..... Maryland ..... certain
Alberto Mendoza ..... Georgia Tech ..... Indiana ..... likely
Katin Houser ..... Illinois ..... East Carolina ..... probable
Josh Hoover ..... Indiana ..... TCU ..... certain
Jayden Raynor ..... Iowa State ..... Arkansas State ..... probable
Arrington Maiden ..... James Madison ..... Memphis ..... contested
Davi Belfort ..... James Madison ..... Central Florida ..... contested
Rickie Collins ..... Kennesaw State ..... Syracuse ..... certain
Kenny Minchey ..... Kentucky ..... Notre Dame ..... contested
Lincoln Keinholz ..... Louisville ..... Ohio State ..... probable
Sam Leavitt ..... LSU ..... Arizona State ..... certain
Darian Mensah ..... Miami ..... Duke ..... certain
Austin Simmons ..... Missouri ..... Ole Miss ..... probable
Henry Belin ..... Missouri State ..... Duke ..... contested
Skyler Locklear ..... Missouri State ..... UTEP ..... contested
Anthony Colandrea ..... Nebraska ..... UNLV ..... certain
Luke Duncan ..... Nevada ..... UCLA ..... contested
Billy Edwards ..... North Carolina ..... Wisconsin ..... likely
Tayven Jackson ..... North Texas ..... Central Florida ..... likely
Aidan Chiles ..... Northwestern ..... Michigan State ..... certain
Drew Mestemaker ..... Oklahoma State ..... North Texas ..... certain
Dylan Raiola ..... Oregon ..... Nebraska ..... unlikely
Rocco Becht ..... Penn State ..... Iowa State ..... certain
Jacurri Brown ..... Rice ..... Central Florida ..... certain
Dylan Lonergan ..... Rutgers ..... Boston College ..... probable
Carson Conklin ..... Sacramento State ..... Fresno State ..... certain
Luke Kromenhoek ..... South Florida ..... Mississippi State ..... contested
Michael Van Buren ..... South Florida ..... LSU ..... contested
Ajani Sheppard ..... Temple ..... Washington State ...... unlikely
Jaxon Smolik ..... Temple ..... Penn State ..... probable
Ryan Staub ..... Tennessee ..... Colorado ..... unlikely
Jake Merklinger ..... Uconn ..... Tennessee ..... certain
William Watson ..... Umass ..... Virginia Tech ..... certain
Jackson Arnold ..... UNLV ..... Auburn ..... certain
McCae Hillstead ..... Utah State ..... Brigham Young ..... certain
Beau Pribula ..... Virginia ..... Missouri ..... probable
Eli Holstein ..... Virginia ..... Pitt ..... unlikely
Ethan Grunkemeyer ..... Virginia Tech ..... Penn State ..... certain
Gio Lopez ..... Wake Forest ..... North Carolina ..... probable
Michael Hawkins ..... West Virginia ..... Oklahoma ..... contested
Brock Glenn ..... Western Kentucky ..... Florida State ..... unlikely
Colton Joseph ..... Wisconsin ..... Old Dominion ..... certain
WHAT'S
NEW IN 2026
* Deion doing better -- The Colorado coach, whose bladder had to be removed last year, is currently believed to be cancer-free after having reconstructive surgery in the spring. In spite of lots of irresponsible speculation about his supposedly imminent retirement, Coach Prime says he isn't hanging it up anytime soon, and he expects to remain at CU for the rest of his career. How much control he actually has over that situation is something he may find out this season.
* High five to the 5-in-5 rule -- In a surprisingly smart move, the NCAA has changed the eligibility rules so that a player now has five years' eligibility, provided he uses all of them within five years upon enrolling in college. The College Football Czar's favorite thing about this is that it eliminates redshirts. The days of players shutting themselves down after four games to preserve a year's eligibility upon transferring are over. Whatever legitimate reasons there had ever been for redshirting are antiquated anyway, because coaches no longer have realistic expectations of keeping key players for four years. There's still a long way to go to end this trend of players deciding to play only when they feel like it, but this is a good first step.
* Rio roh-roe -- A planned Week Zero game in Rio de Janeiro between Nc State and Virginia has been moved back home to Scott Stadium on the UVa campus, because event organizer Athlete Advantage determined after an extensive review that it could not be put on in Brazil as planned. There is no more detailed an explanation than that, but the College Football Czar has got to conclude that ticket sales were a problem. If a game is being organized in a foreign country, then at least one of the participants should be a team from a part of the United States that has a large population that identifies with the host nation. In Brazil, a matchup between Miami and Rutgers might draw some Americans of Brazilian descent down to Rio for a vacation, but Raleigh vs. Charlottesville just doesn't cut it.
* Good PR decision -- With the twice-relocated Bahamas Bowl not returning this year, the inaugural Puerto Rico Bowl will take its place. This will be a relief to coaches and administrators, who will no longer have to worry about ensuring that the entire team has valid passports during the brief window after the bowl invitations go out. For the benefit of any lardheads who may be reading this, the reason is that Puerto Rico, unlike the Bahamas, is part of the United States. Yes, the Czar realizes that it has its own Olympic basketball team and Miss Universe contestant, but trust him on this.
* State of flux -- The new-look Pac 12 plays its first season, with eight schools whose names all end in "State." If the coaches all wore those lardheaded Penn State "S" hats, it would get a mite confusing.
* Game Above Bowl gone -- Say it ain't so. The bustling tourism hotspot of Greater Detroit will be without a bowl game for the first time since the Motor City Bowl was founded in 1997. Fans will now have to reschedule their Christmas vacations, without that 11AM Tuesday kickoff at Ford Field to look forward to.
* USA Network is useful again -- for the first time in four decades, college football games are scheduled to be broadcast on the USA Network (originally USA Sports), which has signed on for part of the carriage deal for the new Pac 12. The first game is a Week 1 renewal of the Bronze Boot game between P12 member Colorado State and Mountain West rival Wyoming. So, if you have forgotten where this channel is ever since it drove you away by showing Walker, Texas Ranger eleventy-twelve times a day, now's the time to rediscover it.
WHAT'S
NOT NEW
* Endless expansion -- The SEC
wants to expand the playoff to 16 teams, but the Big Ten, ACC and Big XII are
proposing to increase that number to 24.
Realistically, the SEC might as well give in right now, because once
this trend starts, there's no stopping it.
If the CFP does grow to 16, that will only be an incremental step toward
a considerably larger field. This
phenomenon has become a plague on the entire world of sports. Just last year, the Division II playoff
expanded from 28 teams to 32. Division
III expanded from 32 to 40. This year's
World Cup expanded all the way from 32 countries to 48, rendering group play a
mere formality for every team that's worth anything. Next March, there will be 76 schools
participating in the NCAA basketball tournament. The more these tournaments are diluted, the
worse the product becomes for the fans.
Division I-A football used to have a solution to this. It was called the bowl season, and the
"mythical national championship."
* Re-misalignment -- You can't get much less mid-American than the capital of California, but Sacramento State has joined the MAC as a football-only member, because it needed to have a conference affiliation in order to be allowed to make the move from Division I-AA. Having already been rejected by both the Mountain West and Pac 12, Sac State's options boiled down to staying put until further notice, or accepting a geographically problematic schedule, starting with a Week Zero conference opener in Ypsilanti. The MWC has accepted another I-AA school, perennial powerhouse North Dakota State, which the College Football Czar hates to see because it increases the number of Division I-A dome teams to four. In a peculiar development, Northern Illinois has left the MAC for the Mountain West, which surprises the Czar because of NIU's ill-fated stint in the Big West from 1993-95. In a couple moves that make eminently more geographical sense, two schools have upgraded from Conference USA: Louisiana Tech joining intrastate foes ULL and ULM in the Sun Belt Conference, and UTEP joining the Mountain West, where it reunites with seven former rivals from the WAC, to which it belonged from 1968-2004.
* Replay giveaways -- When ESPN Classic still existed, it could
be enjoyable on occasion to watch an old football game, but only if you didn't
already know how it turned out. When you
come across one now, the first thing you'll notice is a large banner at the top
of the screen that says something like, "Wake Forest Day," at which point
you're no longer curious to see how they fared against Nc State five years ago.
* The postseason piddles on -- The ever-anticlimactic CFP will now drag
on all the way until seven days short of February. The first-round playoff games will take place
on December 18-19, but the quarterfinals won't start until the Phony Fiesta
Bowl is played on the 30th, with the remaining three games making for a sparse
schedule on New Year's Day. After that,
it will be two more weeks before the semifinals are held in the Phony Orange
Bowl and Phony Sugar Bowl on January 14-15, and the championship is set for
January 25th, which of course is a Monday, just for maximum enthusiasm-crushing
effect. The Liberty Bowl on January 2nd
is the last of the traditional bowl games, which means there will only be three
games played during the last 23 days of the season. For decades, we've been told this is the way
things must be, because the traditional New Year's bowl game grand finale was
too unsatisfying for the fans.
LARDHEAD
OF THE YEAR AWARD NOMINEES
* Judge Ken Curry -- who issued an injunction against the NCAA, prohibiting it from suspending newly arrived Texas Tech quarterback Brendan Sorsby for gambling. Not only had Sorsby been betting on college football, but he bet on Indiana when he was playing for the Hoosiers as a freshman. Unless you're a pro-Pete Rose lardhead (he says redundantly) who thinks wagering on your own team does nothing to corrupt the game, the decision to ban the QB from playing this season was an obvious one. Curry based his opinion on the belief that Sorsby would suffer an "imminent and irreparable injury" by not being behind center for the Red Raiders in 2026. Hyperbole aside, isn't there enough chaos in college football without some kooky judge declaring a right not to be suspended? Just think of the potential implications for all the players who have been suspended by their coaches for nebulous "violations of team rules." And if there is a right not to be suspended, is there also a right not to be benched? Not playing is not playing. One would think the "imminent and irreparable injury" standard would still apply. It's a moot point as far as Sorsby is concerned, because he withdrew his lawsuit and attempted, unsuccessfully, to enter the NFL Supplemental Draft But don't think there aren't other judges out there who would find Curry's point persuasive.
* Pitt athletic director Allen Greene -- His decision to tarp over the upper deck sideline seats at Acrisure Stadium signals a surrender for Panther football, as the school will no longer strive to fill the 68,4000-seat facility, but instead will artificially reduce its capacity by 17,000. The College Football Czar, who is among the season ticket holders who has been forced to relocate as a result, is more than slightly bitter. Last season, Pitt averaged 51,800 tickets sold, although the actual in-person attendance wasn't nearly that high. With the expansion of the ACC schedule to nine games, and the Panthers playing five conference games on the road this year, they have made a point of scheduling all three nonconference games at home. The problem with this, as fans around the country are finding out, is that when you're reluctant to play road nonconference games, you do not get home nonconference opponents that draw a lot of fans. To wit, this year's slate consists of Miami Ohio, Central Florida, and Division I-AA Bucknell. Without a Notre Dame or West Virginia to drive season ticket sales, Greene sees that attendance is about to crash, and rather than address the scheduling crisis, he has decided to just give up. What's worse, he's telling the fans that he's doing it for us, improving the game-day experience by herding us into a smaller area, in seats with worse sight lines than the ones from which we've been ejected. As a side note, the Czar is also blaming Greene for the completely unjustifiable decision to stop selling I.C. Light at Pitt baseball games. What the heck, the university gives us little recourse to complain about these things, so the Czar figures the A.D. is ultimately responsible.
* Pitt WRs Cataurus Hicks and Tyreek Robinson, and CB Zion Ferguson --
The three were arrested on multiple minor charges after they went joy riding
through campus on dirt bikes. Actually,
it's worse than that, because what Pitt calls a campus is really just a city
neighborhood with very busy streets, and these Panthers were reportedly weaving
through traffic, riding on the sidewalks, and going the wrong way down one way
streets, with Ferguson eventually running into a fire department vehicle. There were no reported injuries, except to
the players' pride, assuming they have any capacity for embarrassment in the
first place.
* The ACC -- for devising the most moronic tiebreaking system of all time, which is really saying something. In an attempt to avoid a repeat of last year, when Duke won the conference with an overall record of 8-5, the league has revised its method of determining who plays in the championship game. Because not all of the teams were able to comply with the new 9-team ACC schedule this year, the supposedly academically excellent conference decided that, "No team will be overly rewarded or penalized based on the number of conference games it played." Um, not to put a fine point on this, but a team that played eight games and a team that played nine cannot be tied; hence, no need for a tiebreaker. An 8-1 team is ahead of a 7-1 team, no matter how you slice it. How is it even possible to be "overly rewarded or penalized" for that? While other conferences have to worry about sorting through five-way ties, the ACC caught a break this year because of this clarifying quirk in scheduling, yet it is determined to muddy the water all the same. Another bullet point on the press release declares that, "Head-to-head results will always matter most," which would make perfect sense, if deciding between teams that are actually tied, but it would be nonsensical for a head-to-head result to supersede the standings. "When head-to-head competition cannot separate tied teams," it continues, "the team with the strongest overall body of work will earn the opportunity to compete for the ACC Championship and the conference's automatic bid into the College Football Playoff." This new system is as dishonest as it is dopey. The league might as well come out and say that it will select its championship participants subjectively, so that if Duke finishes a half-game ahead of Miami, Duke is out and Miami is in, cuz "eye test."
* The University of Massachusetts -- for embarking on a three-year renovation of McGuirk Stadium that does not include any plans to expand its capacity. The fact that the Minutemen find 17,000 seats to be sufficient tells us that they don't really have any intention of ever competing at the Division I-A level. So why are they here?
THE
CZAR DECREES ...
If the College Football Czar could
issue proclamations changing college football, these are some examples of what
those would entail:
* Blast to the past -- By now, the College Football Czar's
regular readers are more than familiar with his litany of curmudgeonly
grievances: The ill-conceived playoff
has reduced New Year's Day to a blip on the college football schedule. Players are free to abandon their teams
whenever they want. Most NIL deals have
got nothing in the world to do with N, I or L.
There's entirely too much roster turnover from year to year. Too many big games are played indoors. Official reviews take too much time without
correcting a high enough percentage of blown calls. Unsportsmanlike conduct is now the rule
rather than the exception.
Geographically ludicrous conference realignment is squelching
traditional rivalries. Quality
nonconference games are going extinct.
It seems like there are fewer fans than there used to be, but more gambling
addicts and jocksniffers. How the Czar
wishes he could borrow Mr. Peabody's wayback machine and go back to a time when
college football was still as much fun as it was meant to be, even if that
means watching games on Mizlou.
* Don't "Protect College Sports" -- The bipartisan
Protect College Sports Act, sponsored by Senators Ted Cruz (R, Texas) and Maria
Cantwell (D, Wash.) may be well-intentioned, but it goes entirely too far. The College Football Czar is not going to
pretend to understand all the entanglements of antitrust law, but a limited
exemption for the NCAA would probably be a good idea, insofar as it would allow
the organization to reimpose a certain degree of badly needed structure. If there were a proposal that would do only
that, it might be supportable, but the 111-page PCSA would get the feds
involved in the granular details of college sports, by imposing their own rules
regarding eligibility, player transfers, coaching changes, and even the
treatment of injuries. Perhaps worst of
all, it would institute a permanent "Congressional Commission on the Future of
College Athletics" to create opportunities for future meddling. The Czar is especially disappointed that such
a proposal should come from Cruz, reputedly one of the most conservative
members of the Senate, whose involvement in sports should never extend beyond
being a slightly less awful basketball player than Jimmy Kimmel. The senator would do well to heed the words
of Ronald Reagan, who famously warned that the nine most frightening words in
the English language are, "I'm from the government, and I'm here to help."
* Take the village away -- The College Football Czar is beginning to
think sports announcers receive daily texts and e-mails from Beijing giving
them certain words and phrases that they are expected to use on the air. How else to explain the frequency with which
he hears the phrase "it takes a village" desperately wedged into otherwise
mundane commentary during broadcasts.
This is not a common saying among normal, unhillary people. The fact that it was once used as a book
title by the most widely loathed person in America does not mean we have
adopted it as a national motto. The Czar
would actually prefer the in-your-face political blowhardity of the late Bill
Walton to this kind of snotty semantic subterfuge.
* Leave the "leverage" There's no apparent political angle to this
one, but the proliferation of the phrase "high-leverage" has gotten almost as
annoying. The closest it comes to
actually meaning anything is that a "high-leverage situation" is a juncture of
the game that might previously have been described as pivotal or crucial. It's more passive and opaque than that,
however, and is therefore an inferior choice of words. Announcers will sometimes refer to a
"high-leverage player," meaning that the player excels in "high-leverage
situations," which makes it a less useful synonym for "clutch." It has morphed beyond that, though, into an
all-purpose adjective that announcers use whenever they don't know what else to
say. This is not a phrase that is
effective in communicating to the viewers.
It's just another unwelcome example of geekspeak that needs to be sent
back to the Land of Exit Velocities, whence it came.
* Return to team colors == Isn't there enough of a lack of continuity
with quarterbacks jumping around to four different teams in four years? What Jerry Seinfeld said about rooting for
the clothes becomes truer all the time, which means at least the clothes have
got to be reliable. If you go to your
team's home opener, and in addition to most of last year's players being gone,
the new guys come running onto the field wearing brown with pink polka dots,
how seriously are you going to root for that team? The College Football Czar proposes that every
school designate two official team colors, at least one of which must be
incorporated into its uniform every week.
That way, the next time the Oregon Ducks forsake their classic uniforms
and show up wearing black and silver, the referee could say, "You're not the
Ducks. Tell the Ducks to get their green
and yellow butts out here in ten minutes, or else they forfeit this game."
* It's official: replay experts are
stupid -- Football broadcasts
already had too many participants without the announcing crew consulting an
ex-referee for his opinion whenever there is a replay review. For the most part, all this guy does is watch
the replay out loud with us. "You see,
the runner's knee is down before the ball comes out, therefore it's no fumble
and this call should be reversed." The
announcers themselves should be well versed enough in the rules of the game
that they shouldn't need to throw out a lifeline. And now that they have AI to help them, any
necessary clarifications are right at their fingertips. The College Football Czar would say that the
on-air officiating expert is an idea whose time has passed, except that it had
never arrived in the first place.
TEAM
RANKINGS, 1-138
|
1. Ohio St. (B10) |
41. Tennessee (SEC) |
81. Cincinnati (XII) |
121. C. Carolina (SB) |
|
2. Georgia (SEC) |
42. Fresno St. (P12) |
82. Oregon St. (P12) |
122. Toledo (MAC) |
|
3. Indiana (B10) |
43. Utah (XII) |
83. N. Carolina (ACC) |
123. Kent St. (MAC) |
|
4. Texas (SEC) |
44. Virginia (ACC) |
84. Air Force (MW) |
124. Tulsa (AC) |
|
5. LSU (SEC) |
45. Minnesota (B10) |
85. Old Dominion (SB) |
125. Mid. TN (CUSA) |
|
6. Oregon (B10) |
46. Kentucky (SEC) |
86. Rice (AC) |
126. S. Alabama (SB) |
|
7. Notre Dame (Ind.) |
47. Illinois (B10) |
87. Colorado (XII) |
127. MO St. (CUSA) |
|
8. BYU (XII) |
48. Pitt (ACC) |
88. W. Mich. (MAC) |
128. NM St. (CUSA) |
|
9. Texas A&M (SEC) |
49. S. Florida (AC) |
89. La. Tech (SB) |
129. Charlotte (AC) |
|
10. Alabama (SEC) |
50. Wisconsin (B10) |
90. Army (AC) |
130. E. Mich (MAC) |
|
11. USC (B10) |
51. TCU (XII) |
91. Colorado St. (P12) |
131. Buffalo (MAC) |
|
12. Texas Tech (XII) |
52. W. Kent. (CUSA) |
92. Miami OH (MAC) |
132. Georgia St. (SB) |
|
13. Oklahoma (SEC) |
53. Miss. St. (SEC) |
93. Maryland (ACC) |
133. Akron (MAC) |
|
14. SMU (ACC) |
54. Hawaii (MW) |
94. Oklahoma St. (XII) |
134. UTEP (MW) |
|
15. Ole Miss (SEC) |
55. Vanderbilt (SEC) |
95. Arkansas St. (SB) |
135. FL Int'l (CUSA) |
|
16. Miami (ACC) |
56. UCLA (B10) |
96. Boston Coll. (ACC) |
136. ULM (SB) |
|
17. Arizona (XII) |
57. Duke (ACC) |
97. UAB (AC) |
137. Sam Hstn. (CUSA) |
|
18. Michigan (B10) |
58. Liberty (CUSA) |
98. C. Florida (XII) |
138. Umass (MAC) |
|
19. UNLV (MW) |
59. San Diego St. (P12) |
99. N. Dakota St. (MW) |
|
|
20. Louisville (ACC) |
60. Va. Tech (ACC) |
100. Marshall (SB) |
|
|
21. Auburn (SEC) |
61. Uconn (Ind.) |
101. Purdue (B10) |
|
|
22. Navy (AC) |
62. Syracuse (ACC) |
102. Utah St. (P12) |
|
|
23. Iowa (B10) |
63. W. Virginia (XII) |
103. So. Miss (SB) |
|
|
24. Boise St. (P12) |
64. N'western (B10) |
104. N. Texas (AC) |
|
|
25. Clemson (ACC) |
65. S. Carolina (SEC) |
105. Delaware (CUSA) |
|
|
26. Tulane (AC) |
66. Texas St. (P12) |
106. San Jose St. (MW) |
|
|
27. Ga. Tech (ACC) |
67. J. Madison (SB) |
107. Wash. St. (P12) |
|
|
28. Missouri (SEC) |
68. Temple (AC) |
108. ULL (SB) |
|
|
29. Florida St. (ACC) |
69. Jax State (CUSA) |
109. Bowl. Grn. (MAC) |
|
|
30. Penn St. (B10) |
70. E. Carolina (AC) |
110. Kenn. St. (CUSA) |
|
|
31. Nc State (ACC) |
71. Wake Forest (ACC) |
111. No. Illinois (MW) |
|
|
32. Houston (XII) |
72. Kansas (XII) |
112. C. Mich. (MAC) |
|
|
33. Memphis (AC) |
73. Rutgers (B10) |
113. Troy (SB) |
|
|
34. Washington (B10) |
74. New Mexico (MW) |
114. App. St. (SB) |
|
|
35. Kansas St. (XII) |
75. Baylor (XII) |
115. So. Miss (SB) |
|
|
36. Florida (SEC) |
76. Arkansas (SEC) |
116. FL Atlantic (AC) |
|
|
37. California (ACC) |
77. Michigan St. (B10) |
117. Nevada (MW) |
|
|
38. Nebraska (B10) |
78. Iowa St. (XII) |
118. Sac. St. (MAC) |
|
|
39. Ga. Southern (SB) |
79. UTSA (CUSA) |
119. Ohio (MAC) |
|
|
40. Arizona St. (XII) |
80. Stanford (ACC) |
120. Wyoming (MW) |
|
CONFERENCE
CAPSULES
American Conference
Outlook: For the most part, the military academies are happily
stuck in a pre-portal time warp, which allows the Midshipmen to return most of
the talent from their 11-win season from a year ago. The other presumptive contenders have
significant rebuilding to do, especially at North Texas, where neither the
coaching staff nor the roster will bear much resemblance to last year's Top 25
team.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Outlook: The College Football Czar would say it should be a great
battle among the top three teams, but the Canes aren't scheduled to play
against the Cards or Mustangs. Such is
life in an over-expanded conference.
Meanwhile, the worst rushing conference in the nation seems determined
not to do anything about it, which will hurt its depth and make it difficult to
get an at-large CFP bid.
Big Ten Conference
Outlook: The defending national champion Hoosiers shouldn't drop
off much, but it won't take much for the 2024 champion Buckeyes to overtake
them. Southern Cal led this conference
in offense last season, but it's the only team in the top half of the league
that lacks a formidable defense. The
Fighting Ducks won't win a national championship until coach Dan Lanning learns
how to prepare his team for a rematch.
Big Twelve Conference
Outlook: This league could plausibly get two teams into the CFP,
but the College Football Czar does not see a genuine national contender among
them. BYU got buried twice by Tech last
year, but the two will not meet this regular season. With the unexpected loss of lardheaded
Cincinnati transfer Brendan Sorsby at quarterback, the Red Raiders turn to Will
Hammond, who backed up Behren Morton a year ago. If it works out, might we see more teams
developing their own QBs within their programs, instead of repeatedly reaching
into the portal?
Conference USA
Outlook: Previewing this conference drives home the point that the
group-of-six teams are now little more than a supply cabinet for the power
conferences. With so many key players
missing from the previous season, there figures to be a premium on coaching
stability, which means eighth-year head Hilltopper Tyson Helton has got an
advantage. Delaware has got the league's
most valuable quarterback, but he has to contend with a defense that gave up an
even 31.0 points per game last year. The
Flames need a reliable QB to run Jamey Chadwell's shotgun-based triple option,
and if they have one, it might take half of the season to find out.
Independents
Outlook: If the Irish won't stand for anything less than a CFP
berth, then they better not drop two games again, because their schedule is
remarkably soft until a road game against BYU in Week 7. The Conn Men could be headed for a third
consecutive winning season, with a schedule that includes three lower-echelon
power conference opponents, all at home.
Mid-American Conference
Outlook: Last year's championship game opponents, WMU and Miami,
appear to be headed for a rematch, with no obvious challenger among the rest of
the pack. Don't expect too much out of
Sac State in its first year of I-A ball.
The Hornets, who had been contenders at the I-AA level as recently as
2022, only went 7-5 last season, and then lost QB Cardell Williams to Maryland.
Mountain West Conference
Outlook: The top half of the league should produce plenty of
offense, led by QBs Jackson Arnold at UNLV and Micah Alejado at UH. Even with some rebuilding to do, perennial
Division I-AA powerhouse North Dakota State should be immediately
competitive. The Miners belong in this
league geographically, but after a 2-10 season while playing in the inferior
Conference USA, they're lucky to have very few players coming back.
Pac 12 Conference
Outlook: Contrary to widely reported rumor, BSU and OSU are not
already looking to bolt this new league for the Big XII, a conference that has
no immediate plans to expand again anyway.
The Bulldogs should be a better offensive team now that they have moved
on from the wandering E.J. Warner. The depleted
SDSU defense can no longer keep that team in contention without help.
Southeastern Conference
Outlook: New LSU coach Lane Kiffin can make his impact known in
the most obnoxious manner possible when his Bayou Bengals visit former team Ole
Miss in Week 3. The Rebels have got
almost all their playing talent back this year, but how much can they keep of
the up-tempo offensive scheme that had been implemented by Kiffin and offensive
coordinator Charlie Weis Jr? Georgia's
chances of winning the SEC and/or the CFP depend on its ability to attack more
directly downfield, which suggests a tremendous year for its tight ends. Arch Manning and his Longhorns get another
crack at the lumpy nuts in Austin in Week 2.
Sun Belt Conference (east
division)
Sun Belt Conference (west
division)
* projected conference champion
Outlook:
The stratifying effect of the transfer portal is most visible in this league,
which has lost an abundance of talent since last year, especially at
quarterback. The College Football Czar
is glad to see the conference persist in splitting into divisions, Rather than
stacking 14 teams in the standings, and deciding the second conference
championship berth by playing rock-paper-scissors. The most likely chance for the Sun Belt to
land a second consecutive CFP bid would be for GASO to upset either Clemson or
Houston, and then run the table in conference play.
BOOBY-TRAP
BALLGAMES
The College Football Czar has no
idea who he will end up picking to win the following games, but he highlights
them now as possible upsets which threaten to ensnare some of the nation's most
prominent programs. The favored teams appear in bold face.
Sept. 5
Oregon at Boise State -- BSU still leads this series 3-1, and even when the Fighting Ducks finally dented the W-column in 2024, it was far from emphatic. Having been outplayed in most facets of the game, they used a few big special teams plays to eke out a 37-34 victory. This series is best known for its only previous meeting in Boise, in which UO running back LeGarrette Blount failed to back up his tough talk during an ugly 19-8 defeat, and then tried to make up for it by slugging a gloating Bronco linebacker Byron Hout after the game. It was just about the only hard hit the webfoots landed all night long.
Sept. 12
Texas Tech at Oregon State -- Maalik Murphy has been a good quarterback before, just not last season in Corvallis. New Beaver head coach JaMarcus Shephard, the former offensive coordinator at Alabama, will try to get him to take care of the ball and finish drives the way he did at Duke two years ago. The Red Raiders are loaded at running back, but their offense might be a bit one-dimensional early in the season, as QB Will Hammond comes back from a torn ACL. If OSU can bog them down in a low-scoring game, its passing game might be able to Pac the one big wallop it needs.
Sept. 26
Boise State at Western Michigan -- In the battle of the badly doodled horseheads, Boise ventures a long way east, which doesn't tend to work out very well for them. WMU returns most of the talent from last year's MAC championship team, including dual-threat QB Broc Lowry, who finished 37 yards shy of a 1,000-yard rushing season. It can also dish out some beef to go with that broclowry, in the form of 1,000-yard running back Jalen Buckley and an experienced offensive line.
Nov. 7
Clemson at Syracuse -- The Cuse has caused a lot of trouble for the Son of Clem in recent years, including last season, when it went on the road to topple the Tigers 34-21. SU couldn't really celebrate that victory, however, because of the loss of quarterback Steve Angeli to a season-ending Achilles injury. With the avenging Angeli on their side, the Orange have a chance to be surprise contenders in the ACC, with arguably their four toughest conference games at home.
Oct. 10
Indiana at Nebraska -- This could be an awkward transitional game for the Hoosiers, hoo don't figure to have much of a problem with their first five opponents, and might not anticipate a serious challenge until they collide with Ohio State a week after this. The Cornhuskers, with Anthony Colandrea arriving from UNLV, will likely field their most formidable passing game at least since Adrian Martinez was a freshman in 2018. Of course, IU went undefeated last year, but by far its three toughest tests came on the road.
Oct. 17
Alabama at Tennessee -- It might sound absurd for a visit to Rocky Top to be a trap game, but on Bama's schedule it falls in between battles with Georgia and Texas A&M. When it comes to the Crimson Tide's weak ground game against the Volunteers' weak run defense, UT seems to have done more during the offseason to address its deficiencies. In recent years, Bama has had a bit of a checkered past in Neyland Stadium, falling there to the Vols in 2022 and 2024.
Auburn at Georgia -- If the Bulldogs have beaten both Oklahoma and Alabama by this point, they just might look past this Tiger team. On the other hand, if they've dropped both of those games and at least temporarily fallen out of the CFP conversation, they could be ready to unravel. Head coach Alex Golesh arrives at AU after leading South Florida to three consecutive winning seasons, with a record of 23-15. The year before he took over in Tampa, the Bulls went 1-11.
Oct. 31
Ohio State at USC -- The Buckeyes have an idle week after a visit to Indiana, so maybe there won't be a letdown for this game. Southern Cal is still their only opponent in between IU and Oregon, however, and that's an awfully tough three-game stretch to have to keep one's intensity up. The Trojans are 7-1 in the Coliseum against Big Ten opponents, having only let a game they should have won get away from them in 2024, against Penn State in overtime. Last year's home schedule included a dominant victory over Michigan and an important win against Iowa. While it's true that the lumpy nuts had the nation's best defense last season, SC counters with an offense that led the Big Ten in total yardage.
Nov. 7
Texas at Missouri -- Last year, the Longhorns did not come far from going winless on the road, managing to finish 2-3 by barely escaping back-to-back games at Kentucky and Mississippi State. Moreover, Faurot Field has been a dangerous place for visiting teams to play in recent years, most notably in a near-upset of Alabama last season. These former Big XII foes face off for the first time since the Horns prevailed in the 2017 Texas Bowl, 33-16. Oh sherr. Like that one wasn't fixed.
Nov. 14
Duke at Miami -- The U almost always appears to be the superior team going into this matchup, but they have only split the last six games in the series. The defending ACC champion Blue Devils will have something to prove, not just to the CFP committee, but to former quarterback Darian Mensah. Now a Hurricane, the one-time Tulane tosser made controversial remarks about the size of his NIL contract at Duke causing friction in the locker room. He won't have to worry about friction on this day, because the Devils will be looking to make more solid contact than that.
Nov. 28
SMU at Stanford -- Unless the Mustangs are still competing for the ACC championship, their previous week's game at Notre Dame will have been like a bowl game, except with the players actually showing up. Having to travel to Palo Alto for a generally inconsequential game against a conference misfit will seem like an afterthought, comparable to the regrettable last stop on a bar-hopping spree. Former Cardinal QB and current head coach Tavita Pritchard has some promising offensive talent to work with, and his team could be motivated by the possibility of a bowl game of its own.
POSTSEASON
PROJECTIONS
Just for fun, here are the Czar's
projections for this season's bowl and playoff matchups.
Game ..... Location
..... Date ..... Projection
Arizona Bowl ..... Tucson, AZ .....
TBA ..... Miami OH vs. Air Force
Holiday Bowl ..... San Diego, CA
..... TBA ..... California vs. San Diego State
Salute to Veterans Bowl .....
Montgomery, AL ..... Dec. 15 ..... Delaware vs. Ball State
Frisco Football Classic (nee, Xbox
Bowl) ..... Frisco, TX ..... Dec. 15 ..... Middle Tennessee vs. Old Dominion
Boca Raton Bowl ..... Boca Raton, FL
..... Dec. 18..... East Carolina vs. Virginia Tech
Gasparilla Bowl ..... Tampa, FL .....
Dec. 18 ..... Duke vs. South Florida
CFP First Round ..... Baton Rouge, LA
..... Dec. 18 ..... UNLV at LSU
CFP First Round ..... College
Station, TX ..... Dec. 19 ..... Brigham Young at Texas A&M
CFP First Round ..... Eugene, OR
..... Dec. 19 ..... Alabama at Oregon
CFP First Round ..... South Bend, IN
..... Dec. 19 ..... SMU at Notre Dame
Myrtle Beach Bowl ..... Myrtle Beach,
SC ..... Dec. 21 ..... Georgia Southern
vs. Kennesaw State
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl ..... Boise,
ID ..... Dec. 21 ..... Central Michigan vs. Boise State
Puerto Rico Bowl ..... Bayamon, PR .....
Dec. 22 ..... Bowling Green vs. James Madison
Cure Bowl ..... Orlando, FL .....
Dec. 22..... Marshall vs. Uconn
Independence Bowl ..... Shreveport,
LA ..... Dec. 22 ..... Kansas State vs. Liberty
New Orleans Bowl ..... New Orleans,
LA ..... Dec. 23 ..... Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Tech
Armed Forces Bowl ..... Fort Worth,
TX ..... Dec. 23 ..... TCU vs. Western Kentucky
Frisco Bowl ..... Frisco, TX .....
Dec. 23 ..... Western Michigan vs. Wisconsin
New Mexico Bowl ..... Albuquerque, NM
..... Dec. 24 .....New Mexico vs. Arkansas State
Hawaii Bowl ..... Honolulu, HI .....
Dec. 24 ..... Minnesota vs. Hawaii
Pinstripe Bowl ..... Bronx, NY .....
Dec. 26 ..... Georgia Tech vs. Penn State
Fenway Bowl ..... Boston, MA .....
Dec. 26 ..... Florida State vs. Tulane
Duke's Mayo Bowl ..... Charlotte, NC
..... Dec. 26 ..... Louisville vs. Illinois
68 Ventures Bowl ..... Mobile, AL ..... Dec. 26 ..... Southern Miss vs. Temple
Cactus Bowl ..... Phoenix, AZ .....
Dec. 26 ..... Arizona State vs. Iowa
Military Bowl ..... Annapolis, MD
..... Dec. 28 ..... Nc State vs. Navy
Birmingham Bowl ..... Birmingham, AL
..... Dec. 29 ..... Kentucky vs. Memphis
Pop Tarts Bowl ..... Orlando, FL
..... Dec. 29 ..... Miami vs. Arizona
Alamo Bowl ... San Antonio, TX ...
Dec. 29 ... Houston vs. Texas A&M
Gator Bowl ..... Jacksonville, FL
..... Dec. 30 ..... Florida vs. Clemson
Music City Bowl ..... Nashville, TN
..... Dec. 30 ..... Missouri vs. Nebraska
Fiesta Bowl (CFP QF) ..... Glendale,
AZ ..... Jan. 8 ..... Brigham Young vs. Ohio State
ReliaQuest Bowl ..... Tampa, FL .....
Dec 31 ..... Auburn vs. Michigan
Sun Bowl ..... El Paso, TX ..... Dec.
31 ..... Virginia vs. Fresno State
Las Vegas Bowl ..... Las Vegas, NV
..... Dec 31 ..... Tennessee vs. Washington
Texas Bowl ..... Houston, TX .....
Dec 31 ..... Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss
Cotton Bowl (CFP QF) ..... Arlington,
TX ..... Jan. 1 ..... Oregon vs. Georgia
Peach Bowl (CFP QF) ..... Atlanta, GA
..... Jan. 1 ..... LSU vs. Texas
Rose Bowl (CFP QF) ..... Pasadena, CA
..... Jan. 1 ..... Notre Dame vs. Indiana
Citrus Bowl ..... Orlando, FL .....
Jam. 2 ..... Oklahoma vs. USC
First Responder Bowl ..... Dallas, TX
..... Jan. 2 ..... Pitt vs. UTSA
Liberty Bowl ..... Memphis, TN .....
Jan. 2 ..... Utah vs. Mississippi Stae
Orange Bowl (CFP SF) ..... Miami
Gardens, FL ..... Jan. 14 ..... Texas vs. Ohio State
Sugar Bowl (CFP SF) ..... New Orleans, LA ..... Jan. 15 ..... Indiana vs. Georgia
CFP Championship ..... Atlanta, GA
..... Jan. 25 .... Georgia vs. Ohio State